Portugal vs Norge

I'm on Over 1.5 goals, Norway Over 2.5 corners and Norway +1.5 on the Asian handicap in a bet builder at 2.63.

The handicap carries this one. Norway have lost twice in this Nations League, 2-1 to Portugal and 2-1 in Wales, both by a single goal, and they beat Denmark 3-2 in between. They score in every game, with five goals across their three matches, and they need points here, so they won't come to Porto just to sit in. I see this finishing 1-1 or 2-1 to Portugal, and both are covered.

That ties straight into the goals leg. All three of Norway's matches in the competition went over 2.5, both teams scored in each, and Portugal have conceded three in their own three. Two goals is a low bar for this fixture.

Norway average 4.7 corners per match in the tournament and won 3 in their only away game. A side chasing a result should clear three. The danger is Portugal smothering them as they did Wales, winning 10 corners to 2 at home. I don't expect that against a Norway side that has to attack, and 2.63 pays well for three legs pointing the same way.